Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally
Chapel Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , Hoover
Tract 01073012908 ·
Jefferson County, AL · pop 4,628 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 01073012908 covers the Chapel Hill area of Hoover, home to 4,628 residents. For landlords it grades 4.5/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 24th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 41% of renter households, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,264 monthly, set against $55,815 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 64% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%Stable renters 37%Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,954
Renter share63.6%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate14.0%
Median income$55,815
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Chapel Hill
Moderate
Within parent city
96th percentile
#2 of 23 tracts In Hoover
Very High
Within county
39th percentile
#115 of 189 tracts In Jefferson County
Low
Within state
34th percentile
#942 of 1,436 tracts In Alabama
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hoover and the region
Centroid at 33.3988, -86.7986 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chapel Hill scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Hoover
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
14.0% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,264 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hoover
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hoover
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hoover
2.0
How Chapel Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
82%Socioeconomic
91%Household composition
68%Racial/ethnic minority
73%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
944Total filings over 11 yrs
7.51%Avg annual filing rate
14.5%Peak (2012)
125Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2016
Filings climbed 247% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
16.3%Housing insecurity
11.4%Utility-shutoff threat
21.6%Food insecurity
15.3%SNAP enrollment
11.2%Transit barriers
11.2%No health insurance
18.1%Frequent mental distress
35.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chapel Hill
What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Hoover eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Jefferson County average of 5.3 and in line with the Alabama statewide average of 4.5. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 16.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 01073012908
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01073012908?
Census tract 01073012908 in the Chapel Hill neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 01073012908?
Median gross rent is $1,264/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 01073012908?
14.0% of residents in tract 01073012908 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,628.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 01073012908?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 91th, minority 68th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 01073012908 considered part of Chapel Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01073012908 fall within Chapel Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01073012908?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 944 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 01073012908 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.51% of renter households, peaking at 14.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 01073012908 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 01073012908 compare to Hoover overall?
Tract 01073012908 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Hoover at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hoover eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Hoover
Top eight tracts in Hoover ranked by composite eviction-risk score.