1 census tracts · pop 4,628 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10
· range 3.5–3.5
Chapel Hill maps to a single census tract in Hoover, AL, population 4,628. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.5/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Against a Hoover baseline of 29.1%, 41% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10.
Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 2/10. 12% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The filing record is not thin: 944 evictions logged in this tract.
At $1,264 a month, rents sit 13% under what the rest of Hoover commands. Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 14.5% of renter households.
Recent filings have not receded much: 9.9% in 2016 against a 14.5% peak. Among the 16 mapped neighborhoods of Hoover, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Huntington Park and Riverchase score within a fraction of it.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $55,815.
One tract means one number: 3.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Chapel Hill vs HooverHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority68%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport73%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Chapel Hill
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
944Total filings (sum)
7.51%Avg annual filing rate
14.5%Peak year (2012)
9.89%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Chapel Hill
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
16.3%Housing insecurity
11.4%Utility shutoff threat
21.6%Food insecurity
15.3%SNAP enrollment
11.2%No health insurance
35.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Chapel Hill
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Chapel Hill?
Chapel Hill scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Chapel Hill compare to Hoover overall?
Chapel Hill scores 0.3 points higher than Hoover overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,264 vs $1,457.
Q3
What is the average rent in Chapel Hill?
Average gross rent in Chapel Hill is $1,264/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Chapel Hill residents are renters?
64% of Chapel Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Hoover). The neighborhood has 4,628 residents.
Q5
Is Chapel Hill a high social-vulnerability area?
Chapel Hill sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Chapel Hill for landlords?
Chapel Hill carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Hoover as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Chapel Hill?
Chapel Hill has 4,842 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (43.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (32%), Hispanic / Latino (21.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
