Neighborhood · Hoover, AL

Chapel Hill Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,628 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10 · range 3.5–3.5

Chapel Hill is a white-black neighborhood in Hoover with 1 census tract and a population of 4,628 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 41% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 12% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,264/month sits 13% lower than the Hoover citywide average ($1,457).

Risk score

3.5

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Chapel Hill vs Hoover How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

41.4% +42%

Hoover: 29.1%

Average gross rent

$1,264 -13%

Hoover: $1,457

Average HH income

$55,815 -48%

Hoover: $107,822

Poverty rate

14.0% +163%

Hoover: 5.3%

Renter share

63.6% +120%

Hoover: 28.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chapel Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.5–3.5

Why Chapel Hill scores 3.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts

1.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Rent control risk

41% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

64% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Economic stress

14.0% below poverty line · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Risk score comparison

Chapel Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Chapel Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
01073012908	3.5	4,628	41%	$1,264

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 87

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 82%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 91%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 68%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 73%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Chapel Hill

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

944Total filings (sum)
7.51%Avg annual filing rate
14.5%Peak year (2012)
9.89%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Chapel Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

16.3%Housing insecurity
11.4%Utility shutoff threat
21.6%Food insecurity
15.3%SNAP enrollment
11.2%No health insurance
35.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Chapel Hill

What is the eviction-risk score for Chapel Hill?

Chapel Hill scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Chapel Hill compare to Hoover overall?

Chapel Hill scores 1.3 points higher than Hoover overall (2.2/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,264 vs $1,457.

What is the average rent in Chapel Hill?

Average gross rent in Chapel Hill is $1,264/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Chapel Hill residents are renters?

64% of Chapel Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Hoover). The neighborhood has 4,628 residents.

Is Chapel Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Chapel Hill sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Chapel Hill for landlords?

Chapel Hill carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Hoover as a whole (2.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Chapel Hill?

Chapel Hill has 4,842 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (43.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (32%), Hispanic / Latino (21.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Chapel Hill

3.6 Huntington Park 2 tracts · pop 8,055 2.6 Chimney Hills 2 tracts · pop 10,664 2.7 Vestavia Lake 3 tracts · pop 10,444 1.5 Highland Crest 2 tracts · pop 10,824 2.5 Lakewood Hills 3 tracts · pop 14,569 3.7 Anderson Place Historic District 2 tracts · pop 9,281

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Hoover

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Chapel Hill.

3.4 Huntington Park 2 tracts · pop 8,055 3.1 Chace Lake 1 tracts · pop 4,110 2.6 Chestnut Ridge 1 tracts · pop 5,049 2.6 Woodmeadows 1 tracts · pop 2,626 2.5 Chimney Hills 2 tracts · pop 10,664 2.2 Riverchase 1 tracts · pop 3,063

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