Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
Bayside Eviction Risk: Lower , Decatur
Tract 01103005109 ·
Morgan County, AL · pop 4,576 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Bayside in Decatur is where census tract 01103005109 sits, home to 4,576 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 3.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 8% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 28% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $829 a month against an average household income of $59,167 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 63% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%Stable renters 46%Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,920
Renter share63.3%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate14.3%
Median income$59,167
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Bayside
Moderate
Within parent city
63th percentile
#7 of 17 tracts In Decatur
Elevated
Within county
70th percentile
#10 of 31 tracts In Morgan County
Elevated
Within state
44th percentile
#807 of 1,436 tracts In Alabama
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Decatur and the region
Centroid at 34.5494, -86.9779 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bayside scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Decatur
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.5
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
14.3% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$829 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Decatur
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Decatur
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Decatur
2.5
How Bayside compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
82%Socioeconomic
99%Household composition
69%Racial/ethnic minority
82%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
644Total filings over 12 yrs
4.52%Avg annual filing rate
6.5%Peak (2013)
60Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2016
Filings climbed 50% over the past 12 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
19.5%Housing insecurity
12.3%Utility-shutoff threat
26.9%Food insecurity
19.3%SNAP enrollment
13.0%Transit barriers
15.9%No health insurance
19.4%Frequent mental distress
41.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bayside
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Decatur eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Morgan County average of 4.1 and below the Alabama statewide average of 4.5. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 19.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 01103005109
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01103005109?
Census tract 01103005109 in the Bayside neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 01103005109?
Median gross rent is $829/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 01103005109?
14.3% of residents in tract 01103005109 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,576.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 01103005109?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 99th, minority 69th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 01103005109 considered part of Bayside?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01103005109 fall within Bayside (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01103005109?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 644 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 01103005109 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.52% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 01103005109 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 01103005109 compare to Decatur overall?
Tract 01103005109 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Decatur at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Decatur eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Decatur
Top eight tracts in Decatur ranked by composite eviction-risk score.