Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Shoal Creek Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 01117030211 · Shelby County, AL · pop 2,896 · 44% of tract blocks fall in Shoal Creek
01117030211 is a census tract in Shoal Creek, AL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,896. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,094
Renter share6.1%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate1.1%
Median income$146,354
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
28
th percentile
Low
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shoal Creek and the region
Centroid at 33.4180, -86.5969 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shoal Creek scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shoal Creek
3.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
1.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,573 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shoal Creek
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shoal Creek
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shoal Creek
2.4
How Shoal Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 10Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.34%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.9%Peak (2012)
- 2Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.7%Food insecurity
- 3.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.2%Transit barriers
- 4.6%No health insurance
- 12.8%Frequent mental distress
- 24.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shoal Creek
The voucher gap is 103.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.8/10. SNAP participation runs 3.7% against 15.2% nationally. Cost burden runs 46% here against 40.0% across Shelby County.
The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The filing record is not thin: 10 evictions over 4 years of observation. Against the Shelby County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2012, when 4.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.3% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 01117030211
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01117030211?
Census tract 01117030211 in Shoal Creek scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 01117030211?
Median gross rent is $2,573/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 01117030211?
1.1% of residents in tract 01117030211 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,896.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 01117030211?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 11th, minority 31th, housing 5th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01117030211?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 01117030211 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.34% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 01117030211 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 01117030211 compare to Shoal Creek overall?
Tract 01117030211 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Shoal Creek at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shoal Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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