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Census Tract · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally

Shoal Creek Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 01117030211 · Shelby County, AL · pop 2,896 · 44% of tract blocks fall in Shoal Creek

Here is how census tract 01117030211, in Shoal Creek in Shelby County, looks to a landlord: a 4.5/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 2,896. On the national scale it ranks #63,885 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,573 a month against an average household income of $146,354 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 6% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 3% Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,094
Renter share6.1%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate1.1%
Median income$146,354

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Shoal Creek
Moderate
Within county
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 55 tracts In Shelby County
Very Low
Within state
1 th percentile
Rank, 1st percentileLowHigh
#1,416 of 1,436 tracts In Alabama
Very Low
National
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#81,634 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Shoal Creek and the region

Centroid at 33.4180, -86.5969 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shoal Creek scores 1.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Shoal Creek
3.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
1.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,573 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shoal Creek
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shoal Creek
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shoal Creek
2.4

How Shoal Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shoal Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.21.2This tracttract 030211Shoal Creek: 1.91.9Shoal Creekparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 10Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 4.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.9%Peak (2012)
  • 2Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 011170302112001: 1 filings (2.77/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2006: 2 filings (7.72/100 renter HHs)2012: 5 filings (4.90/100 renter HHs)2013: 2 filings (1.96/100 renter HHs)2014: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2016: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shoal Creek

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shoal Creek, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Shelby County average of 4.3 and in line with the Alabama statewide average of 4.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 10 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 4.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.9% of renter households in 2012.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 01117030211

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01117030211?

Census tract 01117030211 in Shoal Creek scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 01117030211?

Median gross rent is $2,573/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 01117030211?

1.1% of residents in tract 01117030211 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,896.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 01117030211?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 11th, minority 31th, housing 5th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01117030211?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 01117030211 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.34% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 01117030211 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 01117030211 compare to Shoal Creek overall?

Tract 01117030211 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Shoal Creek at 1.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shoal Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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