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Census Tract · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally

Chelsea Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 01117030215 · Shelby County, AL · pop 5,443 · 25% of tract blocks fall in Chelsea

Chelsea anchors census tract 01117030215, which lands at 3.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 4th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 18% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,433 monthly, set against $85,697 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 19% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 15% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,053
Renter share18.9%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$85,697

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Chelsea
Elevated
Within county
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#27 of 55 tracts In Shelby County
Moderate
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#1,314 of 1,436 tracts In Alabama
Very Low
National
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#71,178 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chelsea and the region

Centroid at 33.3776, -86.5820 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chelsea scores 2.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chelsea
3.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,433 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chelsea
2.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chelsea
2.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chelsea
2.2

How Chelsea compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chelsea risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.22.2This tracttract 030215Chelsea: 1.81.8Chelseaparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 27Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 4.13%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.2%Peak (2016)
  • 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 011170302152001: 2 filings (3.31/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2006: 5 filings (8.75/100 renter HHs)2012: 3 filings (2.19/100 renter HHs)2013: 5 filings (3.65/100 renter HHs)2014: 5 filings (3.65/100 renter HHs)2016: 7 filings (3.21/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 250% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chelsea

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 6.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chelsea eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Shelby County average of 4.3 and below the Alabama statewide average of 4.5. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 27 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 4.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.2% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 01117030215

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01117030215?

Census tract 01117030215 in Chelsea scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 01117030215?

Median gross rent is $1,433/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 01117030215?

5.1% of residents in tract 01117030215 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,443.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 01117030215?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 68th, minority 28th, housing 10th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01117030215?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 27 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 01117030215 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.13% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 01117030215 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 01117030215 compare to Chelsea overall?

Tract 01117030215 scores 2.2/10, higher than the parent city of Chelsea at 1.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chelsea eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chelsea

Top eight tracts in Chelsea ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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