Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Tuba City Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04005945200 · Coconino, AZ · pop 3,886
Tract 04005945200 sits in Tuba City, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. Food insecurity runs 43.0% against 17.8% nationally.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,150
Renter share35.1%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate35.5%
Median income$50,577
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tuba City and the region
Centroid at 36.1249, -111.2520 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tuba City scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tuba City
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
35.5% poverty · this tract
8.9
Supply constraint
$790 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tuba City
1.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tuba City
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tuba City
1.9
How Tuba City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.9%Housing insecurity
- 22.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 43.0%Food insecurity
- 37.6%SNAP enrollment
- 24.9%Transit barriers
- 14.7%No health insurance
- 24.6%Frequent mental distress
- 47.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tuba City
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, economic stress reads 8.9/10.
29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Coconino County average of 40.0%. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.4/10.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Average gross rent is $790, 9% below the Tuba City average.
On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Coconino County average of 4.0 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04005945200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04005945200?
Census tract 04005945200 in Tuba City scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04005945200?
Median gross rent is $790/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04005945200?
35.5% of residents in tract 04005945200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,886.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04005945200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 90th, minority 99th, housing 88th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 04005945200 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 04005945200 compare to Tuba City overall?
Tract 04005945200 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tuba City at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tuba City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tuba City
Top eight tracts in Tuba City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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