Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Flagstaff Industrial Park Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04005000500 · Coconino, AZ · pop 4,434 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 04005000500 sits in the Flagstaff Industrial Park area of Flagstaff eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. It is home to 4,434 residents. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $63,814, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,946
Renter share30.9%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$63,814
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Flagstaff and the region
Centroid at 35.2275, -111.5565 · click any tract to drill in
Why Flagstaff Industrial Park scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Flagstaff
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,735 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Flagstaff
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Flagstaff
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Flagstaff
5.5
How Flagstaff Industrial Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 20Total filings over 1 yrs
- 6.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.3%Peak (2004)
- 20Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.8%Housing insecurity
- 9.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.6%Food insecurity
- 13.6%SNAP enrollment
- 10.6%Transit barriers
- 13.6%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 28.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Flagstaff Industrial Park
The dominant input is local political climate at 8/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
The filing record is not thin: 20 evictions over 1 years of observation. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 3/10.
The worst year on record was 2004, when 6.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 6.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
40% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Coconino County average of 4.0 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04005000500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04005000500?
Census tract 04005000500 in the Flagstaff Industrial Park neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04005000500?
Median gross rent is $1,735/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04005000500?
15.4% of residents in tract 04005000500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,434.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04005000500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 17th, minority 61th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 04005000500 considered part of Flagstaff Industrial Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04005000500 fall within Flagstaff Industrial Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04005000500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 20 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 04005000500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.33% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04005000500 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04005000500 compare to Flagstaff overall?
Tract 04005000500 scores 4.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Flagstaff at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flagstaff eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Flagstaff
Top eight tracts in Flagstaff ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Rio Homes
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Pine Canyon
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Pine Knoll
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Presidio in the Pines
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Sunnyside
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Shadow Mountain
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04005980200
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Railroad Springs
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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