Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Burgundy Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Guadalupe
Tract 04013320002 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,335 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 04013320002 sits in the Burgundy Hill area of Guadalupe, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,531
Renter share41.6%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate22.3%
Median income$58,507
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Guadalupe and the region
Centroid at 33.3665, -111.9632 · click any tract to drill in
Why Burgundy Hill scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Guadalupe
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
22.3% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$783 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Guadalupe
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Guadalupe
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Guadalupe
7.3
How Burgundy Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 47Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.6%Peak (2003)
- 9Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 125% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.3%Housing insecurity
- 16.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 41.3%Food insecurity
- 32.7%SNAP enrollment
- 20.8%Transit barriers
- 27.5%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 44.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Burgundy Hill
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
It sits 1.7 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.3/10. Housing insecurity runs 27.3% against 14.2% nationally.
Disability prevalence runs 44.5% against 31.5% nationally. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The filing record is not thin: 47 evictions over 5 years of observation. Average gross rent is $783, 10% below the Guadalupe average.
The worst year on record was 2003, when 3.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $58,507, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013320002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013320002?
Census tract 04013320002 in the Burgundy Hill neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013320002?
Median gross rent is $783/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013320002?
22.3% of residents in tract 04013320002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,335.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013320002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 85th, minority 97th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 04013320002 considered part of Burgundy Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013320002 fall within Burgundy Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013320002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 47 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013320002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.22% of renter households, peaking at 3.6% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013320002 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013320002 compare to Guadalupe overall?
Tract 04013320002 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Guadalupe at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Guadalupe; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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