Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Forbing Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Prescott

Tract 04025000403 · Yavapai, AZ · pop 1,575 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

04025000403 is a census tract in the Forbing Park area of Prescott, AZ. It scores 3.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,575 residents. Average gross rent is $1,949, 40% above the Prescott average.

Risk score

3.8

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 16% Owners 72%

Tract context

Occupied units572

Renter share27.6%

SVI overall0.25

Poverty rate12.5%

Median income$78,158

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Prescott and the region

Centroid at 34.5716, -112.4781 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forbing Park scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Prescott

4.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.5

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

12.5% poverty · this tract

3.1

Supply constraint

$1,949 rent vs county FMR

7.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Prescott

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Prescott

6.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Prescott

6.1

How Forbing Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

57%Socioeconomic
24%Household composition
29%Racial/ethnic minority
9%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Forbing Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.0%Housing insecurity
5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
10.5%Food insecurity
7.3%SNAP enrollment
6.4%Transit barriers
9.4%No health insurance
15.2%Frequent mental distress
32.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forbing Park

The main counterweight is state political climate at 2.2/10. The voucher gap is 21.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10.

On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.1/10. SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.5% against 17.8% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.3/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 42% of renters. It tracks the Yavapai County average of 3.8 closely.

Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $78,158. 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04025000403

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04025000403?

Census tract 04025000403 in the Forbing Park neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04025000403?

Median gross rent is $1,949/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04025000403?

12.5% of residents in tract 04025000403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,575.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04025000403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 24th, minority 29th, housing 9th.

Is tract 04025000403 considered part of Forbing Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04025000403 fall within Forbing Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04025000403 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04025000403 compare to Prescott overall?

Tract 04025000403 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Prescott at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Prescott eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Prescott

Top eight tracts in Prescott ranked by composite eviction-risk score.