Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Village of Oak Creek (Big Park) Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04025001703 · Yavapai, AZ · pop 2,374 · 90% of tract blocks fall in Village of Oak Creek (Big Park)
Census tract 04025001703 covers part of Village of Oak Creek (Big Park), AZ, and scores 4.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,374. 58% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,330
Renter share27.1%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate18.3%
Median income$72,383
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
National
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Village of Oak Creek (Big Park) and the region
Centroid at 34.7817, -111.7323 · click any tract to drill in
Why Village of Oak Creek (Big Park) scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Village of Oak Creek (Big Park)
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
18.3% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,928 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Village of Oak Creek (Big Park)
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Village of Oak Creek (Big Park)
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Village of Oak Creek (Big Park)
5.7
How Village of Oak Creek (Big Park) compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.2%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.6%Food insecurity
- 6.5%SNAP enrollment
- 5.1%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 11.2%Frequent mental distress
- 35.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Village of Oak Creek (Big Park)
71% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Yavapai County average of 41.3%. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.8/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.9/10.
The voucher gap is 20.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Food insecurity runs 8.6% against 17.8% nationally.
The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally.
Against the Yavapai County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04025001703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04025001703?
Census tract 04025001703 in Village of Oak Creek (Big Park) scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04025001703?
Median gross rent is $1,928/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04025001703?
18.3% of residents in tract 04025001703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,374.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04025001703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 74th, minority 33th, housing 98th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 04025001703 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 04025001703 compare to Village of Oak Creek (Big Park) overall?
Tract 04025001703 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Village of Oak Creek (Big Park) at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Village of Oak Creek (Big Park); what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Village of Oak Creek (Big Park)
Top eight tracts in Village of Oak Creek (Big Park) ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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