Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Orange Grove Mobile Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04027011802 · Yuma, AZ · pop 3,591 · 8% of tract blocks fall in Orange Grove Mobile Manor
Census tract 04027011802 covers part of Orange Grove Mobile Manor, AZ, and scores 4.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 100% here against 40.1% across Yuma County.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units908
Renter share1.7%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate28.7%
Median income$74,756
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
National
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Orange Grove Mobile Manor and the region
Centroid at 32.5842, -114.6472 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orange Grove Mobile Manor scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Orange Grove Mobile Manor
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
28.7% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orange Grove Mobile Manor
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orange Grove Mobile Manor
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orange Grove Mobile Manor
2.2
How Orange Grove Mobile Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.6%Housing insecurity
- 14.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.4%Food insecurity
- 25.7%SNAP enrollment
- 15.4%Transit barriers
- 30.1%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 39.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orange Grove Mobile Manor
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10.
Food insecurity runs 34.4% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
Housing insecurity runs 24.6% against 14.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 2% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.3/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Yuma County average of 3.8 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04027011802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04027011802?
Census tract 04027011802 in Orange Grove Mobile Manor scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 04027011802?
28.7% of residents in tract 04027011802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,591.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 04027011802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 92th, minority 90th, housing 33th.
Q4
What share of households in tract 04027011802 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5
How does tract 04027011802 compare to Orange Grove Mobile Manor overall?
Tract 04027011802 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Orange Grove Mobile Manor at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orange Grove Mobile Manor; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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