Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally
Alma Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 05033020602 · Crawford County, AR · pop 6,985 · 63% of tract blocks fall in Alma
Here is how census tract 05033020602, in Alma in Crawford County, looks to a landlord: a 4.3/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 6,985. That is riskier than about 19% of US census tracts.
45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $992 monthly, set against $61,433 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,455
Renter share45.9%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate22.0%
Median income$61,433
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
National
75
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Alma and the region
Centroid at 35.4843, -94.2101 · click any tract to drill in
Why Alma scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Alma
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.0% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$992 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alma
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alma
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alma
7.3
How Alma compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 21%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.7%Housing insecurity
- 10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.0%Food insecurity
- 11.6%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 20.2%Frequent mental distress
- 40.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Alma
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Alma, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Crawford County average of 3.5 and in line with the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 05033020602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05033020602?
Census tract 05033020602 in Alma scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05033020602?
Median gross rent is $992/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05033020602?
22.0% of residents in tract 05033020602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,985.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05033020602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 82th, minority 21th, housing 84th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 05033020602 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 05033020602 compare to Alma overall?
Tract 05033020602 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Alma at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alma; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related