Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Van Buren Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 05033020502 · Crawford County, AR · pop 4,371 · 90% of tract blocks fall in Van Buren
05033020502 is a census tract in Van Buren, AR. It scores 4.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,371 residents. The main counterweight is court filing pressure at 0.2/10.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,596
Renter share61.2%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate22.4%
Median income$44,398
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
National
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Van Buren and the region
Centroid at 35.4413, -94.3240 · click any tract to drill in
Why Van Buren scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Van Buren
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.4% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$720 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Van Buren
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Van Buren
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Van Buren
6.4
How Van Buren compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2Total filings over 2 yrs
- 0.11%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.1%Peak (2002)
- 1Filings in 2003 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.2%Housing insecurity
- 14.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.6%Food insecurity
- 21.3%SNAP enrollment
- 14.2%Transit barriers
- 15.7%No health insurance
- 22.0%Frequent mental distress
- 48.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Van Buren
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.
The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Food insecurity runs 28.6% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 1.1 points above the Crawford County average of 3.6.
The filing record is not thin: 2 evictions over 2 years of observation. Average gross rent is $720, 15% below the Van Buren average. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2002 at 0.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 0.1% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 05033020502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05033020502?
Census tract 05033020502 in Van Buren scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05033020502?
Median gross rent is $720/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05033020502?
22.4% of residents in tract 05033020502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,371.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05033020502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 93th, minority 39th, housing 98th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 05033020502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 05033020502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.11% of renter households, peaking at 0.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 05033020502 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 05033020502 compare to Van Buren overall?
Tract 05033020502 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Van Buren at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Van Buren eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Van Buren
Top eight tracts in Van Buren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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