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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,848 of 84,120 nationally

Ozan Eviction Risk: Elevated , Texarkana

Tract 05091020200 · Miller County, AR · pop 2,996 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

In the Ozan area of Texarkana, census tract 05091020200 scores 5.6/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 63% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $949 a month against an average household income of $30,227 a year, roughly 38% of income at the averages. About 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 24% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,168
Renter share56.9%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate29.0%
Median income$30,227

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Ozan
Moderate
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 13 tracts In Texarkana
Very High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 14 tracts In Miller County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Texarkana and the region

Centroid at 33.4380, -94.0366 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ozan scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Texarkana
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.7
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
29.0% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$949 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Texarkana
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Texarkana
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Texarkana
7.7

How Ozan compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ozan risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.66.6This tracttract 020200Texarkana: 2.72.7Texarkanaparent cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ozan. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ozan

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Texarkana eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Miller County average of 5.0 and above the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 05091020200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05091020200?

Census tract 05091020200 in the Ozan neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05091020200?

Median gross rent is $949/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05091020200?

29.0% of residents in tract 05091020200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,996.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05091020200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 64th, minority 68th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 05091020200 considered part of Ozan?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05091020200 fall within Ozan (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 05091020200 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 05091020200 compare to Texarkana overall?

Tract 05091020200 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Texarkana at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Texarkana eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Texarkana

Top eight tracts in Texarkana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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