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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Ozan Eviction Risk: Moderate , Texarkana

Tract 05091020200 · Miller County, AR · pop 2,996 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 05091020200 sits in the Ozan area of Texarkana eviction risk, AR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 2,996. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 24% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,168
Renter share56.9%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate29.0%
Median income$30,227

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Ozan
Very High
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 13 tracts In Texarkana
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 14 tracts In Miller County
Very High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Texarkana and the region

Centroid at 33.4380, -94.0366 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ozan scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Texarkana
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.7
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
29.0% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$949 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Texarkana
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Texarkana
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Texarkana
7.7

How Ozan compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ozan risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0202004.0Texarkanaparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ozan. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ozan

57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Miller County average of 44.4%. Set annual rent against average income of $30,227 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Disability prevalence runs 45.4% against 31.5% nationally.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Miller County average of 4.1.

SNAP participation runs 26.4% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the AR average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 05091020200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05091020200?

Census tract 05091020200 in the Ozan neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05091020200?

Median gross rent is $949/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05091020200?

29.0% of residents in tract 05091020200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,996.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05091020200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 64th, minority 68th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 05091020200 considered part of Ozan?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05091020200 fall within Ozan (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 05091020200 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 05091020200 compare to Texarkana overall?

Tract 05091020200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Texarkana at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Texarkana eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Texarkana

Top eight tracts in Texarkana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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