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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Ozan Eviction Risk: Moderate , Texarkana

Tract 05091020702 · Miller County, AR · pop 3,345 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 05091020702 sits in the Ozan area of Texarkana eviction risk, AR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. 44% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 23% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,635
Renter share50.2%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate27.3%
Median income$48,692

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Ozan
Very Low
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 13 tracts In Texarkana
Elevated
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 14 tracts In Miller County
Elevated
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#92 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Texarkana and the region

Centroid at 33.4427, -94.0182 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ozan scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Texarkana
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.7
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
27.3% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$776 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Texarkana
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Texarkana
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Texarkana
7.7

How Ozan compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ozan risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0207024.0Texarkanaparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ozan. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ozan

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Cost burden runs 54% here against 44.4% across Miller County. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. Average gross rent is $776, 15% below the Texarkana average. Against the Miller County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the AR average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $48,692. 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 05091020702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05091020702?

Census tract 05091020702 in the Ozan neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05091020702?

Median gross rent is $776/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05091020702?

27.3% of residents in tract 05091020702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,345.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05091020702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 67th, minority 68th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 05091020702 considered part of Ozan?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05091020702 fall within Ozan (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 05091020702 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 05091020702 compare to Texarkana overall?

Tract 05091020702 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Texarkana at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Texarkana eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Texarkana

Top eight tracts in Texarkana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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