Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally
Ozan Eviction Risk: Elevated , Texarkana
Tract 05091020702 · Miller County, AR · pop 3,345 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 5.5/10, tract 05091020702 in Ozan in Texarkana ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,345 residents. On the national scale it ranks #34,779 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
54% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $776 monthly, set against $48,692 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,635
Renter share50.2%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate27.3%
Median income$48,692
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Texarkana and the region
Centroid at 33.4427, -94.0182 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ozan scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Texarkana
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.7
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
27.3% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$776 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Texarkana
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Texarkana
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Texarkana
7.7
How Ozan compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ozan. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.2%Housing insecurity
- 15.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.4%Food insecurity
- 17.2%SNAP enrollment
- 12.3%Transit barriers
- 10.3%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 38.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ozan
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Texarkana eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Miller County average of 5.0 and above the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 19.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 05091020702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05091020702?
Census tract 05091020702 in the Ozan neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05091020702?
Median gross rent is $776/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05091020702?
27.3% of residents in tract 05091020702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,345.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05091020702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 67th, minority 68th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 05091020702 considered part of Ozan?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05091020702 fall within Ozan (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 05091020702 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 05091020702 compare to Texarkana overall?
Tract 05091020702 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Texarkana at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Texarkana eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Texarkana
Top eight tracts in Texarkana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AR
Ozan
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
College Hill
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
Ozan
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
College Hill
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05091020100
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05091020901
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05091020902
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05091980000
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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