Census Tract · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
Barling Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 05131001308 ·
Sebastian County, AR · pop 3,950 · 86% of tract blocks fall in Barling
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 05131001308 (Barling in Sebastian County, Arkansas) comes in at 4.2/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 17th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 30% of renter households, a high level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $890 a month while the average household earns $52,917 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 29% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%Stable renters 20%Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,976
Renter share28.8%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate16.5%
Median income$52,917
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Barling
Moderate
Within county
57th percentile
#14 of 31 tracts In Sebastian County
Elevated
Within state
58th percentile
#348 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Elevated
National
70th percentile
#24,926 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Barling and the region
Centroid at 35.3313, -94.2835 · click any tract to drill in
Why Barling scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Barling
3.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.5% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$890 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Barling
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Barling
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Barling
5.3
How Barling compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.3%Housing insecurity
9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
17.4%Food insecurity
10.2%SNAP enrollment
9.3%Transit barriers
12.6%No health insurance
19.4%Frequent mental distress
37.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Barling
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 5.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Barling, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sebastian County average of 4.0 and in line with the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 05131001308
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05131001308?
Census tract 05131001308 in Barling scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05131001308?
Median gross rent is $890/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05131001308?
16.5% of residents in tract 05131001308 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,950.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05131001308?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 43th, minority 42th, housing 30th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 05131001308 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 05131001308 compare to Barling overall?
Tract 05131001308 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Barling at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Barling; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.