Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Oakley Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06013302012 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 5,810
Census tract 06013302012 covers part of Oakley, CA, and scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,564
Renter share15.7%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$165,577
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
10
th percentile
Very Low
National
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oakley and the region
Centroid at 37.9775, -121.6879 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oakley scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oakley
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,214 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oakley
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oakley
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oakley
5.3
How Oakley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.1%Food insecurity
- 14.3%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 10.8%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 28.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oakley
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.6/10. It sits 1.5 points below the Contra Costa County average of 6.8.
On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.
44% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Contra Costa County average of 48.7%. At $2,214 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Oakley commands. Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $165,577, annual rent is just 16%.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.2 points cooler.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06013302012
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013302012?
Census tract 06013302012 in Oakley scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06013302012?
Median gross rent is $2,214/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06013302012?
6.2% of residents in tract 06013302012 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,810.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06013302012?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 71th, minority 77th, housing 41th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06013302012 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06013302012 compare to Oakley overall?
Tract 06013302012 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Oakley at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oakley
Top eight tracts in Oakley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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