Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Bancroft Village Eviction Risk: Elevated , Walnut Creek
Tract 06013338204 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 6,600 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 6/10, tract 06013338204 in the Bancroft Village area of Walnut Creek, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,600. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.1/10.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,974
Renter share45.6%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$153,674
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
23
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Walnut Creek and the region
Centroid at 37.9191, -122.0468 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bancroft Village scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Walnut Creek
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$3,097 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Walnut Creek
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Walnut Creek
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Walnut Creek
4.6
How Bancroft Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.9%Housing insecurity
- 3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.8%Food insecurity
- 5.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 3.9%No health insurance
- 13.8%Frequent mental distress
- 21.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bancroft Village
Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Cost burden runs 43% here against 48.7% across Contra Costa County.
The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10.
SNAP participation runs 5.6% against 15.2% nationally. The voucher gap is 15.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
At $3,097 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Walnut Creek commands. Against the Contra Costa County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.
Adults with no health insurance runs 3.9% against 11.3% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.6/10.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06013338204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013338204?
Census tract 06013338204 in the Bancroft Village neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06013338204?
Median gross rent is $3,097/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06013338204?
4.5% of residents in tract 06013338204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,600.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06013338204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 45th, minority 61th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 06013338204 considered part of Bancroft Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013338204 fall within Bancroft Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06013338204 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06013338204 compare to Walnut Creek overall?
Tract 06013338204 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Walnut Creek at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Walnut Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Walnut Creek
Top eight tracts in Walnut Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Burton Valley
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Burton Valley
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Rossmoor
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Walnut Heights
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Hillsdale
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Acalanes Ridge
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Rossmoor
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Ygnacio Hills
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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