Bancroft Village Eviction Risk: Elevated

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.1/10. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10. Severe burden reaches 12%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The voucher gap is 15.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $3,097, 16% above the Walnut Creek average of $2,680. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

3.7% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of Walnut Creek, it ranks #7 by risk, the lower third.

For a like-for-like read, Peppertree and Shell Ridge score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $153,674. 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.