Neighborhood · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally

Shell Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Walnut Creek

Tract 06013338302 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 5,513 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 06013338302 sits in the Shell Ridge area of Walnut Creek, California eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. That is riskier than about 59% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 40% of renter households, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $3,167 a month against an average household income of $204,435 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

2.9

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 9% Owners 85%

Tract context

Occupied units1,981

Renter share14.3%

SVI overall0.13

Poverty rate1.0%

Median income$204,435

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Walnut Creek and the region

Centroid at 37.9066, -122.0146 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shell Ridge scores 2.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Walnut Creek

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

1.0% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$3,167 rent vs county FMR

6.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Walnut Creek

5.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Walnut Creek

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Walnut Creek

4.6

How Shell Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

8%Socioeconomic
20%Household composition
59%Racial/ethnic minority
23%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

4.7%Housing insecurity
2.6%Utility-shutoff threat
4.8%Food insecurity
3.6%SNAP enrollment
3.5%Transit barriers
2.9%No health insurance
11.7%Frequent mental distress
20.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shell Ridge

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Walnut Creek, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Contra Costa County average of 5.7 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 4.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 2.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013338302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013338302?

Census tract 06013338302 in the Shell Ridge neighborhood scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06013338302?

Median gross rent is $3,167/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013338302?

1.0% of residents in tract 06013338302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,513.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013338302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 20th, minority 59th, housing 23th.

Is tract 06013338302 considered part of Shell Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013338302 fall within Shell Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06013338302 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06013338302 compare to Walnut Creek overall?

Tract 06013338302 scores 2.9/10, lower than the parent city of Walnut Creek at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Walnut Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Walnut Creek

Top eight tracts in Walnut Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.