Neighborhood · Walnut Creek, CA

Shell Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,513 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.9/10 · range 2.9–2.9

Shell Ridge is a diverse neighborhood in Walnut Creek with 1 census tract and a population of 5,513 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.9/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 41% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 0% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $3,167/month sits 18% higher than the Walnut Creek citywide average ($2,680).

Risk score

2.9

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Shell Ridge vs Walnut Creek How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

40.5% +32%

Walnut Creek: 30.6%

Average gross rent

$3,167 +18%

Walnut Creek: $2,680

Average HH income

$204,435 +51%

Walnut Creek: $135,665

Poverty rate

1.0% -83%

Walnut Creek: 6.0%

Renter share

14.3% -60%

Walnut Creek: 35.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shell Ridge and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 2.9–2.9

Why Shell Ridge scores 2.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts

7.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

41% of income on rent · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts

5.6

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

14% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts

4.6

Economic stress

1.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Risk score comparison

Shell Ridge vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Shell Ridge

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06013338302	2.9	5,513	40%	$3,167

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 13

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 8%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 20%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 59%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 23%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Shell Ridge

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

4.7%Housing insecurity
2.6%Utility shutoff threat
4.8%Food insecurity
3.6%SNAP enrollment
2.9%No health insurance
20.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Shell Ridge

What is the eviction-risk score for Shell Ridge?

Shell Ridge scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Shell Ridge compare to Walnut Creek overall?

Shell Ridge scores 5.3 points lower than Walnut Creek overall (8.2/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $3,167 vs $2,680.

What is the average rent in Shell Ridge?

Average gross rent in Shell Ridge is $3,167/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Shell Ridge residents are renters?

14% of Shell Ridge households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Walnut Creek). The neighborhood has 5,513 residents.

Is Shell Ridge a high social-vulnerability area?

Shell Ridge sits in the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Shell Ridge for landlords?

Shell Ridge carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Walnut Creek as a whole (8.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Shell Ridge?

Shell Ridge has 5,305 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (18.9%), Hispanic / Latino (11.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Shell Ridge

3.1 Peppertree 2 tracts · pop 6,929 3.3 Walnut Heights 4 tracts · pop 18,104 5.2 Greyson Place 2 tracts · pop 8,880 3.4 Acalanes Ridge 3 tracts · pop 11,412 5 Fruitbowl 2 tracts · pop 8,774 4.3 Clayton Valley Highlands 2 tracts · pop 8,220

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Walnut Creek

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Shell Ridge.

2.8 Burton Valley 4 tracts · pop 14,056 3 Peppertree 2 tracts · pop 6,929 3 Bancroft Village 1 tracts · pop 6,600 3.3 Rossmoor 3 tracts · pop 12,213 3.3 Walnut Heights 4 tracts · pop 18,104 3.3 Pleasant Valley 1 tracts · pop 6,118

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