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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Danville Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06013345205 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 5,779 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 5.6/10, tract 06013345205 in the Danville Ranch area of San Ramon, CA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,779. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 26% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,281
Renter share46.2%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$171,592

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Danville Ranch
Very High
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 17 tracts In Danville
Elevated
Within county
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#183 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
Low
Within state
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#7,670 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Danville and the region

Centroid at 37.7858, -121.9867 · click any tract to drill in

Why Danville Ranch scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Danville
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,063 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Danville
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Danville
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Danville
4.3

How Danville Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Danville Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 3452056.2Danvilleparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Danville Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Danville Ranch

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10. The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

It sits 1.2 points below the Contra Costa County average of 6.8. 43% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Contra Costa County average of 48.7%.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Food insecurity runs 8.8% against 17.8% nationally. The voucher gap is 14.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013345205

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013345205?

Census tract 06013345205 in the Danville Ranch neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013345205?

Median gross rent is $3,063/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013345205?

3.8% of residents in tract 06013345205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,779.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013345205?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 9th, minority 69th, housing 26th.
Q5

Is tract 06013345205 considered part of Danville Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013345205 fall within Danville Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06013345205 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06013345205 compare to Danville overall?

Tract 06013345205 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Danville at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Danville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Danville

Top eight tracts in Danville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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