Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally

Dougherty Valley Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Ramon

Tract 06013355123 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 3,333 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 06013355123 sits in the Dougherty Valley area of San Ramon, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. Population here is 3,333. Cost burden runs 8% here against 48.7% across Contra Costa County.

Risk score

6.8

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 4% Owners 96%

Tract context

Occupied units898

Renter share4.1%

SVI overall0.12

Poverty rate14.9%

Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Ramon and the region

Centroid at 37.7424, -121.8969 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dougherty Valley scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Ramon

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

14.9% poverty · this tract

3.7

Supply constraint

$3,501 rent vs county FMR

8.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Ramon

5.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Ramon

6.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Ramon

4.3

How Dougherty Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

31%Socioeconomic
25%Household composition
92%Racial/ethnic minority
1%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Dougherty Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.8%Housing insecurity
3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
10.8%Food insecurity
7.1%SNAP enrollment
5.6%Transit barriers
3.7%No health insurance
11.7%Frequent mental distress
17.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dougherty Valley

The voucher gap is 30.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.3/10. On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.1/10.

At $3,501 a month, rents run 18% over what the rest of San Ramon commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. SNAP participation runs 7.1% against 15.2% nationally.

Adults with no health insurance runs 3.7% against 11.3% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 84th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 4% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.1/10. Against average income of $250,001, annual rent is just 17%.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013355123

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013355123?

Census tract 06013355123 in the Dougherty Valley neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06013355123?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 8% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013355123?

14.9% of residents in tract 06013355123 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,333.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013355123?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 25th, minority 92th, housing 1th.

Is tract 06013355123 considered part of Dougherty Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013355123 fall within Dougherty Valley (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06013355123 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06013355123 compare to San Ramon overall?

Tract 06013355123 scores 6.8/10, right in line with the parent city of San Ramon at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Ramon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Ramon

Top eight tracts in San Ramon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.