Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally
Hercules Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 06013359204 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 4,340
Eviction risk in Hercules centers on tract 06013359204, which scores 2.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,340 residents. It lands near the 66th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 65% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 55% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,321 a month against an average household income of $145,987 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,508
Renter share14.9%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$145,987
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
3
th percentile
Very Low
National
21
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hercules and the region
Centroid at 37.9995, -122.2654 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hercules scores 2.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Hercules
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,321 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hercules
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hercules
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hercules
5.8
How Hercules compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.1%Food insecurity
- 8.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 5.6%No health insurance
- 12.6%Frequent mental distress
- 24.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hercules
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Hercules, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Contra Costa County average of 5.7 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06013359204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013359204?
Census tract 06013359204 in Hercules scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06013359204?
Median gross rent is $2,321/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06013359204?
4.7% of residents in tract 06013359204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,340.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06013359204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 76th, minority 87th, housing 51th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06013359204 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06013359204 compare to Hercules overall?
Tract 06013359204 scores 2.5/10, lower than the parent city of Hercules at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hercules; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Hercules
Top eight tracts in Hercules ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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