Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Burton Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Walnut Creek
Tract 06013349000 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 5,815 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 06013349000 covers part of the Burton Valley area of Lafayette, CA, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units2,138
Renter share38.6%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate10.5%
Median income$131,691
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
30
th percentile
Low
Within state
19
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Walnut Creek and the region
Centroid at 37.8896, -122.1041 · click any tract to drill in
Why Burton Valley scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Walnut Creek
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.5% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$2,787 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Walnut Creek
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Walnut Creek
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Walnut Creek
3.0
How Burton Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Burton Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.5%Housing insecurity
- 3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.8%Food insecurity
- 5.9%SNAP enrollment
- 4.8%Transit barriers
- 3.5%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 23.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Burton Valley
The dominant input is local political climate at 7.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.6/10.
Food insecurity runs 6.8% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 1.0 points below the Contra Costa County average of 6.8.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Housing insecurity runs 6.5% against 14.2% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06013349000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013349000?
Census tract 06013349000 in the Burton Valley neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06013349000?
Median gross rent is $2,787/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06013349000?
10.5% of residents in tract 06013349000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,815.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06013349000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 26th, minority 41th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 06013349000 considered part of Burton Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013349000 fall within Burton Valley (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06013349000 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06013349000 compare to Walnut Creek overall?
Tract 06013349000 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Walnut Creek at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Walnut Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Walnut Creek
Top eight tracts in Walnut Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related