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Census Tract · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

San Pablo Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06013368002 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 4,102

Tract 06013368002, home to 4,102 residents in San Pablo, scores 5.8/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #25,338 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

46% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,657 a month against an average household income of $64,020 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 69% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 37% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,205
Renter share69.0%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate7.7%
Median income$64,020

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In San Pablo
Moderate
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
High
Within state
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#3,734 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#11,930 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Pablo and the region

Centroid at 37.9611, -122.3521 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Pablo scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Pablo
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.7% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,657 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Pablo
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Pablo
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Pablo
6.7

How San Pablo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Pablo risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 368002San Pablo: 8.38.3San Pabloparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Pablo

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Pablo, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Contra Costa County average of 5.7 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 26.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013368002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013368002?

Census tract 06013368002 in San Pablo scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013368002?

Median gross rent is $1,657/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013368002?

7.7% of residents in tract 06013368002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,102.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013368002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 93th, minority 94th, housing 97th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06013368002 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06013368002 compare to San Pablo overall?

Tract 06013368002 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of San Pablo at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Pablo; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Pablo

Top eight tracts in San Pablo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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