Fresno Eviction Risk: High

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 44%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Housing insecurity runs 35.2% against 14.2% nationally.

Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $40,214, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against the Fresno County average of 6.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10. At $1,209 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Fresno commands.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 3/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 93rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.