Hillcrest Eviction Risk: High

Housing insecurity runs 36.9% against 14.2% nationally. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10.

It sits 2.1 points above the Kern County average of 6.4. This is renter territory: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10. Running hot, economic stress reads 8.1/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 20.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

At $1,156 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Hillcrest commands. On the national scale it lands near the 94th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.