Arvin Eviction Risk: High

SNAP participation runs 51.2% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 41%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against the Kern County average of 6.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points. Cost burden runs 61% here against 49.2% across Kern County. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10.

The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $37,462, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.7/10. This is renter territory: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 94th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.