Stallion Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate

What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10. 64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Kern County average of 49.2%. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.1/10.

It sits 1.9 points below the Kern County average of 6.4. At $1,662 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of Stallion Springs commands. The voucher gap is 20.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.6/10. Food insecurity runs 10.5% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 3.0 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.