Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally
The Polo Greens Eviction Risk: Lower , Bakersfield
Tract 06029003807 · Kern, CA · pop 3,357 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 06029003807 covers the The Polo Greens area of Bakersfield, home to 3,357 residents. For landlords it grades 5.8/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 70% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,461 monthly, set against $98,864 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 13% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,084
Renter share12.5%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$98,864
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
3
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
13
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region
Centroid at 35.3907, -119.1189 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Polo Greens scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bakersfield
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,461 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bakersfield
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bakersfield
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bakersfield
3.5
How The Polo Greens compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 42%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Polo Greens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.9%Food insecurity
- 14.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.7%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 32.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Polo Greens
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 6.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kern County average of 6.1 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06029003807
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003807?
Census tract 06029003807 in the The Polo Greens neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06029003807?
Median gross rent is $1,461/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003807?
10.8% of residents in tract 06029003807 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,357.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003807?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 67th, minority 57th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 06029003807 considered part of The Polo Greens?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06029003807 fall within The Polo Greens (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06029003807 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06029003807 compare to Bakersfield overall?
Tract 06029003807 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield
Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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