Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
The Polo Greens Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bakersfield
Tract 06029003807 · Kern, CA · pop 3,357 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 06029003807 in the The Polo Greens area of Greenacres, CA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,357. 36% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,084
Renter share12.5%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$98,864
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
2
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region
Centroid at 35.3907, -119.1189 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Polo Greens scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bakersfield
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,461 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bakersfield
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bakersfield
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bakersfield
3.5
How The Polo Greens compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 42%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Polo Greens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.9%Food insecurity
- 14.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.7%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 32.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Polo Greens
Against the Kern County average of 6.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.8 points. The main counterweight is economic stress at 2.7/10. At $1,461 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Greenacres commands.
Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.4/10. Against average income of $98,864, annual rent is just 18%. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 53% of renters.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06029003807
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003807?
Census tract 06029003807 in the The Polo Greens neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06029003807?
Median gross rent is $1,461/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003807?
10.8% of residents in tract 06029003807 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,357.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003807?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 67th, minority 57th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 06029003807 considered part of The Polo Greens?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06029003807 fall within The Polo Greens (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06029003807 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06029003807 compare to Bakersfield overall?
Tract 06029003807 scores 4.6/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield
Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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