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Census Tract · Ranked #3,157 of 84,120 nationally

Arvin Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029006202 · Kern, CA · pop 7,943 · 18% of tract blocks fall in Arvin

Eviction risk in Arvin in Kern County centers on tract 06029006202, which scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 7,943 residents. That is riskier than about 94% of US census tracts.

About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,425 a month against an average household income of $68,516 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 26% of occupied homes.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 13% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,670
Renter share25.6%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate21.6%
Median income$68,516

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Arvin
Very Low
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#85 of 236 tracts In Kern
Elevated
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#1,462 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
National
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#3,157 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arvin and the region

Centroid at 35.1822, -118.8857 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arvin scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arvin
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
21.6% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,425 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arvin
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arvin
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arvin
8.7

How Arvin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arvin risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.57.5This tracttract 006202Arvin: 8.28.2Arvinparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arvin

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Arvin, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Kern County average of 6.1 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 33.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029006202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029006202?

Census tract 06029006202 in Arvin scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06029006202?

Median gross rent is $1,425/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029006202?

21.6% of residents in tract 06029006202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,943.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029006202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 58th, minority 96th, housing 59th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06029006202 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06029006202 compare to Arvin overall?

Tract 06029006202 scores 7.5/10, lower than the parent city of Arvin at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arvin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arvin

Top eight tracts in Arvin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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