Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #1,107 of 84,120 nationally
North Shafter Eviction Risk: High
Tract 06029004102 · Kern, CA · pop 4,642 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
In North Shafter in Shafter, census tract 06029004102 scores 8.5/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $973 a month while the average household earns $36,969 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 58% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,315
Renter share57.6%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate34.2%
Median income$36,969
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shafter and the region
Centroid at 35.4962, -119.2739 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Shafter scores 8.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shafter
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
34.2% poverty · this tract
8.5
Supply constraint
$973 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shafter
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shafter
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shafter
7.3
How North Shafter compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within North Shafter. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 40.3%Housing insecurity
- 24.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 54.2%Food insecurity
- 56.7%SNAP enrollment
- 27.4%Transit barriers
- 32.8%No health insurance
- 24.4%Frequent mental distress
- 50.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Shafter
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shafter, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Kern County average of 6.1 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 40.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 24.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 06029004102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029004102?
Census tract 06029004102 in the North Shafter neighborhood scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06029004102?
Median gross rent is $973/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06029004102?
34.2% of residents in tract 06029004102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,642.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06029004102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 81th, minority 92th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 06029004102 considered part of North Shafter?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06029004102 fall within North Shafter (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06029004102 struggle to pay rent?
About 40.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06029004102 compare to Shafter overall?
Tract 06029004102 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Shafter at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shafter; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shafter
Top eight tracts in Shafter ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related