Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
Middletown Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06033001302 · Lake, CA · pop 4,473 · 30% of tract blocks fall in Middletown
Tract 06033001302, home to 4,473 residents in Middletown, scores 5.8/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,232 a month while the average household earns $92,344 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,589
Renter share27.4%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$92,344
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
30
th percentile
Low
National
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 38.7540, -122.5521 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middletown scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,232 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
1.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
3.4
How Middletown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.8%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.3%Food insecurity
- 12.5%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 32.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middletown
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middletown, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lake County average of 6.4 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06033001302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06033001302?
Census tract 06033001302 in Middletown scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06033001302?
Median gross rent is $2,232/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06033001302?
8.0% of residents in tract 06033001302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,473.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06033001302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 96th, minority 48th, housing 79th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06033001302 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06033001302 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 06033001302 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Middletown at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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