Neighborhood · Ranked #4,036 of 84,120 nationally

Carey Ranch Eviction Risk: Elevated , Los Angeles

Tract 06037109100 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 2,675 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 6.8/10, tract 06037109100 in the Carey Ranch neighborhood of Los Angeles ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,675 residents. That is riskier than about 92% of US census tracts.

59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 47% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,813 monthly, set against $72,396 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

7.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 13% Owners 69%

Tract context

Occupied units887

Renter share30.8%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate8.8%

Median income$72,396

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Los Angeles and the region

Centroid at 34.2772, -118.4632 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carey Ranch scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.2

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

8.8% poverty · this tract

2.2

Supply constraint

$1,813 rent vs county FMR

1.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Los Angeles

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.0

How Carey Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

79%Socioeconomic
74%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
100%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carey Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.7%Housing insecurity
6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
20.2%Food insecurity
16.2%SNAP enrollment
9.4%Transit barriers
16.3%No health insurance
14.3%Frequent mental distress
40.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carey Ranch

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Los Angeles eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Los Angeles County average of 6.5 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037109100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037109100?

Census tract 06037109100 in the Carey Ranch neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06037109100?

Median gross rent is $1,813/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037109100?

8.8% of residents in tract 06037109100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,675.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037109100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 74th, minority 79th, housing 100th.

Is tract 06037109100 considered part of Carey Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037109100 fall within Carey Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06037109100 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06037109100 compare to Los Angeles overall?

Tract 06037109100 scores 7.2/10, lower than the parent city of Los Angeles at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Los Angeles eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06037109100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Los Angeles

Top eight tracts in Los Angeles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.