Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally

Carey Ranch Eviction Risk: Elevated , Los Angeles

Tract 06037106649 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 2,776 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

The Carey Ranch area of Los Angeles is where census tract 06037106649 sits, home to 2,776 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is $1/10. It lands near the 95th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 83% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 47% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $3,501 a month against an average household income of $104,773 a year, roughly 40% of income at the averages. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

6.3

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 2% Owners 89%

Tract context

Occupied units642

Renter share10.3%

SVI overall0.67

Poverty rate5.0%

Median income$104,773

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Los Angeles and the region

Centroid at 34.2893, -118.4607 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carey Ranch scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.2

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

5.0% poverty · this tract

1.2

Supply constraint

$3,501 rent vs county FMR

8.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Los Angeles

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.0

How Carey Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

73%Socioeconomic
68%Household composition
92%Racial/ethnic minority
30%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carey Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.0%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
22.9%Food insecurity
16.5%SNAP enrollment
10.4%Transit barriers
15.9%No health insurance
16.0%Frequent mental distress
32.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carey Ranch

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Los Angeles eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Los Angeles County average of 6.5 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037106649

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037106649?

Census tract 06037106649 in the Carey Ranch neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06037106649?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037106649?

5.0% of residents in tract 06037106649 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,776.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037106649?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 68th, minority 92th, housing 30th.

Is tract 06037106649 considered part of Carey Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037106649 fall within Carey Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06037106649 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06037106649 compare to Los Angeles overall?

Tract 06037106649 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Los Angeles at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Los Angeles eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06037106649 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Los Angeles

Top eight tracts in Los Angeles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.