Saint James Park Eviction Risk: High , Los Angeles

What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 40.4% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 62%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 10/10.

100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Annualized rent equals 43% of average household income of $51,250, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the high side, local political climate reads 9.5/10.

Against Los Angeles County at 53.8%, 67% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 1.5 points above the Los Angeles County average of 8.4.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.5/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.