Willowville Eviction Risk: High , Long Beach

SNAP participation runs 36.2% against 15.2% nationally. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $48,299 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

It sits 1.5 points above the Los Angeles County average of 8.4. Average gross rent is $1,448, 23% below the Long Beach average.

The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Los Angeles. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #1 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 10/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.