Golden Triangle Eviction Risk: High , Los Angeles

93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The voucher gap is 33.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.3/10.

Cost burden runs 46% here against 53.8% across Los Angeles County. Food insecurity runs 6.5% against 17.8% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Los Angeles. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.