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Census Tract · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally

Hilmar-Irwin Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06047000404 · Merced, CA · pop 5,261 · 23% of tract blocks fall in Hilmar-Irwin

Census tract 06047000404 belongs to Hilmar-Irwin, California. It is home to 5,261 residents and scores 5.2/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 47% of US census tracts.

30% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,681 a month while the average household earns $77,117 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 37% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,471
Renter share52.4%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate13.0%
Median income$77,117

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Hilmar-Irwin
Very Low
Within county
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#45 of 63 tracts In Merced
Low
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#3,076 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#8,138 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Hilmar-Irwin and the region

Centroid at 37.3865, -120.9140 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hilmar-Irwin scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Hilmar-Irwin
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.0% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,681 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hilmar-Irwin
2.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hilmar-Irwin
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hilmar-Irwin
5.2

How Hilmar-Irwin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hilmar-Irwin risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 000404Hilmar-Irwin: 8.18.1Hilmar-Irwinparent cityCounty: 6.96.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hilmar-Irwin

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Hilmar-Irwin, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Merced County average of 6.0 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06047000404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06047000404?

Census tract 06047000404 in Hilmar-Irwin scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06047000404?

Median gross rent is $1,681/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06047000404?

13.0% of residents in tract 06047000404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,261.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06047000404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 69th, minority 62th, housing 32th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06047000404 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06047000404 compare to Hilmar-Irwin overall?

Tract 06047000404 scores 6.4/10, lower than the parent city of Hilmar-Irwin at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hilmar-Irwin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Hilmar-Irwin

Top eight tracts in Hilmar-Irwin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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