Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #3,427 of 84,120 nationally
Atwater Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06047000603 · Merced, CA · pop 5,996 · 81% of tract blocks fall in Atwater
The Elevated-tier score of 6.3/10 for census tract 06047000603 reflects conditions in Atwater, California. It lands near the 84th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $981 a month against an average household income of $63,588 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,011
Renter share51.0%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate20.1%
Median income$63,588
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
83
th percentile
High
National
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Atwater and the region
Centroid at 37.3659, -120.5989 · click any tract to drill in
Why Atwater scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Atwater
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
20.1% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$981 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Atwater
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Atwater
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Atwater
7.5
How Atwater compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.1%Housing insecurity
- 12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.8%Food insecurity
- 26.4%SNAP enrollment
- 14.1%Transit barriers
- 18.1%No health insurance
- 19.6%Frequent mental distress
- 36.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Atwater
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Atwater, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Merced County average of 6.0 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 23.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 06047000603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06047000603?
Census tract 06047000603 in Atwater scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06047000603?
Median gross rent is $981/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06047000603?
20.1% of residents in tract 06047000603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,996.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06047000603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 95th, minority 80th, housing 94th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06047000603 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06047000603 compare to Atwater overall?
Tract 06047000603 scores 7.4/10, lower than the parent city of Atwater at 8.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Atwater; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Atwater
Top eight tracts in Atwater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related