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Census Tract · Ranked #3,157 of 84,120 nationally

Merced Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06047001006 · Merced, CA · pop 4,436

Tract 06047001006 covers Merced in California. Home to 4,436 residents, it scores 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 79% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 33% of renter households, a high level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,647 a month while the average household earns $59,095 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 38% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,918
Renter share56.4%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate20.4%
Median income$59,095

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 23 tracts In Merced
Moderate
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#18 of 63 tracts In Merced
Elevated
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#1,462 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
National
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#3,157 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Merced and the region

Centroid at 37.3305, -120.4789 · click any tract to drill in

Why Merced scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Merced
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
20.4% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,647 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Merced
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Merced
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Merced
7.8

How Merced compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Merced risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.57.5This tracttract 001006Merced: 8.68.6Mercedparent cityCounty: 6.96.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Merced

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Merced, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Merced County average of 6.0 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06047001006

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06047001006?

Census tract 06047001006 in Merced scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06047001006?

Median gross rent is $1,647/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06047001006?

20.4% of residents in tract 06047001006 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,436.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06047001006?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 64th, minority 71th, housing 63th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06047001006 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06047001006 compare to Merced overall?

Tract 06047001006 scores 7.5/10, lower than the parent city of Merced at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Merced; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Merced

Top eight tracts in Merced ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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