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Census Tract · Ranked #5,690 of 84,120 nationally

Atwater Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06047000801 · Merced, CA · pop 6,123 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Atwater

Atwater anchors census tract 06047000801, which lands at 6.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 81st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 59% of renter households, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,429 a month against an average household income of $62,062 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 26% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,974
Renter share63.0%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$62,062

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In Atwater
Low
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 63 tracts In Merced
Moderate
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#2,402 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#5,690 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Atwater and the region

Centroid at 37.3545, -120.5796 · click any tract to drill in

Why Atwater scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Atwater
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,429 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Atwater
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Atwater
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Atwater
7.5

How Atwater compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Atwater risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.86.8This tracttract 000801Atwater: 8.48.4Atwaterparent cityCounty: 6.96.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Atwater

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Atwater, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Merced County average of 6.0 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06047000801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06047000801?

Census tract 06047000801 in Atwater scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06047000801?

Median gross rent is $1,429/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06047000801?

12.3% of residents in tract 06047000801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,123.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06047000801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 99th, minority 77th, housing 50th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06047000801 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06047000801 compare to Atwater overall?

Tract 06047000801 scores 6.8/10, lower than the parent city of Atwater at 8.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Atwater; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Atwater

Top eight tracts in Atwater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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