Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally
Bellview Ranch Eviction Risk: Elevated , Merced
Tract 06047001007 · Merced, CA · pop 4,933 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
In Bellview Ranch in Merced, census tract 06047001007 scores 5.6/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 62% of US census tracts.
About 11% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,601 monthly, set against $93,707 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,260
Renter share34.0%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate18.8%
Median income$93,707
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
32
th percentile
Low
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Merced and the region
Centroid at 37.3497, -120.4838 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bellview Ranch scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Merced
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
18.8% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$2,601 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Merced
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Merced
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Merced
7.8
How Bellview Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 15%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.3%Food insecurity
- 14.8%SNAP enrollment
- 10.6%Transit barriers
- 10.3%No health insurance
- 19.0%Frequent mental distress
- 26.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bellview Ranch
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Merced, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Merced County average of 6.0 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06047001007
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06047001007?
Census tract 06047001007 in the Bellview Ranch neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06047001007?
Median gross rent is $2,601/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 11% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06047001007?
18.8% of residents in tract 06047001007 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,933.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06047001007?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 31th, minority 84th, housing 15th.
Q5
Is tract 06047001007 considered part of Bellview Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06047001007 fall within Bellview Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06047001007 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06047001007 compare to Merced overall?
Tract 06047001007 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of Merced at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Merced; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Merced
Top eight tracts in Merced ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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