Orange Park Acres Eviction Risk: Moderate

At $3,501 a month, rents run 50% over what the rest of Orange commands. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10. Against the Orange County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points. The voucher gap is 20.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Food insecurity runs 6.3% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 4.8% against 15.2% nationally. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.1/10.

That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 1.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $189,167.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.