Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Santiago Creek Eviction Risk: Elevated , Orange

Tract 06059075812 · Orange, CA · pop 6,201 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 06059075812 covers part of the Santiago Creek area of Orange, CA, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,201. 75% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Orange County average of 51.8%.

Risk score

7.3

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 12% Owners 54%

Tract context

Occupied units1,873

Renter share46.1%

SVI overall0.75

Poverty rate10.0%

Median income$96,780

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Orange and the region

Centroid at 33.8080, -117.8287 · click any tract to drill in

Why Santiago Creek scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Orange

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

10.0% poverty · this tract

2.5

Supply constraint

$2,325 rent vs county FMR

3.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Orange

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Orange

8.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Orange

6.0

How Santiago Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

57%Socioeconomic
70%Household composition
71%Racial/ethnic minority
83%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Santiago Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.4%Housing insecurity
8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
19.2%Food insecurity
16.2%SNAP enrollment
9.8%Transit barriers
12.2%No health insurance
18.2%Frequent mental distress
30.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Santiago Creek

The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.4/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 2.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.1/10. Nationally it ranks #11,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.7/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Orange County average of 7.0 closely.

Average gross rent is $2,325, close to the Orange average. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $96,780.

46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059075812

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059075812?

Census tract 06059075812 in the Santiago Creek neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06059075812?

Median gross rent is $2,325/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059075812?

10.0% of residents in tract 06059075812 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,201.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059075812?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 70th, minority 71th, housing 83th.

Is tract 06059075812 considered part of Santiago Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059075812 fall within Santiago Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06059075812 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06059075812 compare to Orange overall?

Tract 06059075812 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Orange at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orange eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Orange

Top eight tracts in Orange ranked by composite eviction-risk score.