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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Casta del Sol Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mission Viejo

Tract 06059032020 · Orange, CA · pop 6,004 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 06059032020 sits in the Casta del Sol area of Mission Viejo, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. Population here is 6,004. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 7% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,897
Renter share21.7%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$164,141

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Casta del Sol
Low
Within parent city
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 21 tracts In Mission Viejo
Low
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#566 of 613 tracts In Orange
Very Low
Within state
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#8,206 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mission Viejo and the region

Centroid at 33.6060, -117.6438 · click any tract to drill in

Why Casta del Sol scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mission Viejo
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$3,306 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mission Viejo
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mission Viejo
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mission Viejo
5.7

How Casta del Sol compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Casta del Sol risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 0320206.5Mission Viejoparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Casta del Sol. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Casta del Sol

Against Orange County at 51.8%, 68% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.1/10. It sits 1.7 points below the Orange County average of 7.0.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. Average gross rent is $3,306, 16% above the Mission Viejo average.

Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally.

The voucher gap is 13.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059032020

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059032020?

Census tract 06059032020 in the Casta del Sol neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059032020?

Median gross rent is $3,306/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059032020?

4.2% of residents in tract 06059032020 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,004.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059032020?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 27th, minority 53th, housing 16th.
Q5

Is tract 06059032020 considered part of Casta del Sol?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059032020 fall within Casta del Sol (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059032020 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059032020 compare to Mission Viejo overall?

Tract 06059032020 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Mission Viejo at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mission Viejo; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mission Viejo

Top eight tracts in Mission Viejo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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