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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Casta del Sol Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mission Viejo

Tract 06059032053 · Orange, CA · pop 8,958 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 06059032053 sits in the Casta del Sol area of Rancho Santa Margarita, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. It is home to 8,958 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 14% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units3,131
Renter share32.8%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$149,702

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Casta del Sol
Very Low
Within parent city
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 8 tracts In Mission Viejo
Very Low
Within county
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#578 of 613 tracts In Orange
Very Low
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#8,324 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mission Viejo and the region

Centroid at 33.6160, -117.6205 · click any tract to drill in

Why Casta del Sol scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mission Viejo
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,857 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mission Viejo
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mission Viejo
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mission Viejo
5.7

How Casta del Sol compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Casta del Sol risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0320536.5Mission Viejoparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Casta del Sol. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Casta del Sol

Against the Orange County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.8 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Orange County average of 51.8%. Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally.

Average gross rent is $2,857, 9% above the Rancho Santa Margarita average. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $149,702.

33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059032053

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059032053?

Census tract 06059032053 in the Casta del Sol neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059032053?

Median gross rent is $2,857/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059032053?

3.4% of residents in tract 06059032053 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,958.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059032053?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 21th, minority 59th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 06059032053 considered part of Casta del Sol?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059032053 fall within Casta del Sol (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059032053 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059032053 compare to Mission Viejo overall?

Tract 06059032053 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Mission Viejo at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mission Viejo; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mission Viejo

Top eight tracts in Mission Viejo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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