Pelican Ridge Eviction Risk: Elevated , Newport Beach

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.1/10. The voucher gap is 20.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

SNAP participation runs 4.2% against 15.2% nationally. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Housing insecurity runs 4.8% against 14.2% nationally. On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.1/10.

On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Orange County average of 7.0 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.