Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally

Grossmont Eviction Risk: Elevated , La Mesa

Tract 06073015302 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,402 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

06073015302 is a census tract in the Grossmont area of El Cajon, CA. It scores 6.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,402. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10.

Risk score

6.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 12% Owners 78%

Tract context

Occupied units1,427

Renter share21.5%

SVI overall0.55

Poverty rate4.9%

Median income$115,575

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across La Mesa and the region

Centroid at 32.7743, -116.9700 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grossmont scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from La Mesa

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

4.9% poverty · this tract

1.2

Supply constraint

$2,187 rent vs county FMR

2.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from La Mesa

9.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from La Mesa

9.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from La Mesa

8.5

How Grossmont compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

48%Socioeconomic
48%Household composition
49%Racial/ethnic minority
64%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Grossmont. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.9%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
12.7%Food insecurity
12.7%SNAP enrollment
7.2%Transit barriers
6.5%No health insurance
15.9%Frequent mental distress
29.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grossmont

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.1/10. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.2/10.

46% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the San Diego County average of 52.5%. Average gross rent is $2,187, 18% above the El Cajon average.

Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $115,575.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073015302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073015302?

Census tract 06073015302 in the Grossmont neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073015302?

Median gross rent is $2,187/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073015302?

4.9% of residents in tract 06073015302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,402.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073015302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 48th, minority 49th, housing 64th.

Is tract 06073015302 considered part of Grossmont?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073015302 fall within Grossmont (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073015302 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073015302 compare to La Mesa overall?

Tract 06073015302 scores 6.9/10, lower than the parent city of La Mesa at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from La Mesa; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in La Mesa

Top eight tracts in La Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.